洪都拉斯以北95L - 15.9N 82.0W - NHC:50%

renzhetegong

95L INVEST 241017 1800 15.9N 82.0W ATL 20 1007

---

2. Western Caribbean Sea:
Showers and thunderstorms over the western Caribbean Sea are
associated with a broad area of low pressure.   Gradual development
of this system is possible over the next couple of days before it
moves inland over Central America.  Regardless of development,
locally heavy rainfall is likely across portions of Central America
and southern Mexico through the weekend.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.

Ck.

95L，后期移入墨西哥湾，发展有待观察

pocketbox

2. Western Caribbean Sea (AL95):
Satellite images show a broad area of low pressure over the western
Caribbean Sea is gradually becoming better defined, and nearby buoy
observations indicate surface pressures are falling. The associated
shower and thunderstorm activity has increased since yesterday, and
environmental conditions appear conducive for some additional
development over the next couple of days. A short-lived tropical
depression or storm could form before the system moves inland over
Belize and the Yucatan Peninsula of Mexico on Saturday. Regardless
of development, locally heavy rainfall is likely across portions of
Central America and southern Mexico through the weekend.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.

pocketbox

2. Western Caribbean Sea (AL95):
Widespread showers and thunderstorms continue across the
northwestern Caribbean Sea in association with a broad area of low
pressure that is gradually becoming better defined to the north of
eastern Honduras. Environmental conditions appear conducive for some
additional development over the next day or two, and a short-lived
tropical depression or storm could form before the system moves
inland over Belize and the Yucatan Peninsula of Mexico on Saturday.
Regardless of development, locally heavy rainfall is likely across
portions of Central America and southern Mexico through the weekend.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent.