中东太／北大各类图像自动更新暨非扰动云团专帖（2024年）

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1、为了方便管理和页面整洁，台风论坛继续坚持一扰动一追击帖的老规矩，在本帖涉及海区无扰动下请在本帖跟帖讨论。违者：合并或删除。
2、当NRL升格扰动后，会员可重新开新的追击。
3、因EC网站更新，本帖无法提供即时更新的EC预报产品，请前往各数值产品服务网站查询。

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北大西洋扰动位置直观图

东北太平洋及中北太平洋扰动位置直观图

NHC热带系统监测图
北大西洋
2天内气旋形成机率


7天内气旋形成机率

东北太平洋
2天内气旋形成机率


7天内气旋形成机率

CPHC热带系统监测图
中北太平洋
2天内气旋形成机率


7天内气旋形成机率

涡度图

ygsj24

000
ABNT20 KNHC 242007
TWOAT

Special Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
410 PM EDT Wed Apr 24 2024

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

East-Central Subtropical Atlantic:
An area of low pressure located about 900 miles northwest of the
Cabo Verde Islands has been producing a small but persistent area
of showers and thunderstorms to the east of its center since this
morning.  However, the low is forecast to move southwestward at 10
to 15 mph into an area of stronger upper-level winds tonight and
tomorrow, and additional development is not expected.

No additional Special Tropical Weather Outlooks are scheduled for
this system unless conditions warrant.  Regularly scheduled
Tropical Weather Outlooks will resume on May 15, 2024, and Special
Tropical Weather Outlooks will be issued as necessary during the
remainder of the off-season.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.

$$
Forecaster Berg/Brown

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ygsj24 发表于 2024-4-25 04:15
000
ABNT20 KNHC 242007
TWOAT

已编90L

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GFS预报显示5月中旬至下旬东太可能有热带系统发展成旋

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ECMWF系集对东太也稍有反应

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GFS 06Z继续预报5月中旬至下旬东太有热带系统发展成旋

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ECMWF 12Z系集继续对东太有所反应

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GFS 18Z预报5月中旬东太有TC生成，系集对此也有反应

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GFS 00Z继续预报5月中旬东太有TC生成

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GFS 06Z预报东太TC将在一周内生成