西太／北印各类图像自动更新暨非扰动云团专帖（2024年7-12月）

熱帶風暴

看來現在處於年度季風渦旋環流調整期,季風都走到太平洋高緯地方,華南颱風迷可以休息一下
待接下來西太平洋出現一個大型TC就可以帶動整個季風槽北上,副高重新控制到內陸
但GFS已經報出有東北季風了,副高很快就會再調整,轉為秋季模式,華南的等一等菲東重新建立季風槽,會出現西行的經典華南颱風

红豆棒冰冰

JMA今天凌晨予想天气图预报+48h玛莉亚南偏东方向出现一个LPA

红豆棒冰冰

JMA最新予想天气图预报+48h玛莉亚东南方向出现一个LPA

红豆棒冰冰

JMA今天凌晨予想天气图预报+24h玛莉亚东南出现一个新的LPA，+48h升格TD

红豆棒冰冰

JMA 00Z认定玛莉亚东南有一个温带气旋生成，并发布了GW

GALE WARNING.
DEVELOPING LOW 1008 HPA
AT 29N 159E SEA AROUND OF MINAMITORISIMA MOVING NW SLOWLY.
WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 400 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 200
MILES ELSEWHERE.
EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 400 MILES OF LOW SOUTH
SEMICIRCLE AND 200 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 12 HOURS.

红豆棒冰冰

JMA最新予想天气图预报+24h上述温带气旋将转化为TD，+48h维持TD；此外+48h日本以南还将有新的TD和LPA生成

红豆棒冰冰

红豆棒冰冰 发表于 2024-8-10 13:53
JMA 00Z认定玛莉亚东南有一个温带气旋生成，并发布了GW

JMA 06Z继续认定温带气旋

GALE WARNING.
DEVELOPED LOW 1004 HPA
AT 29N 158E SEA AROUND OF MINAMITORISIMA MOVING NW 10 KNOTS.
WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 400 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 200
MILES ELSEWHERE.
EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 400 MILES OF LOW SOUTH
SEMICIRCLE AND 200 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 6 HOURS.

红豆棒冰冰

红豆棒冰冰 发表于 2024-8-10 16:35
JMA 06Z继续认定温带气旋

JMA 12Z继续认定温带气旋

GALE WARNING.
DEVELOPED LOW 1004 HPA
AT 30N 157E SEA AROUND OF MINAMITORISIMA MOVING NW 10 KNOTS.
WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF LOW EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 200
MILES ELSEWHERE.
EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF LOW EAST SEMICIRCLE
AND 200 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 6 HOURS.

红豆棒冰冰

JMA今天凌晨予想天气图预报+24h上述温带气旋消散/被95W吞并，此外+24h 95W西南出现新的TD，+48h出现新的LPA（疑似为91W）

红豆棒冰冰

红豆棒冰冰 发表于 2024-8-10 22:39
JMA 12Z继续认定温带气旋

JMA 18Z认定此系统已消散