中东太／北大各类图像自动更新暨非扰动云团专帖（2024年）

红豆棒冰冰

ZCZC MIATWOEP ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 PM PDT Wed Jun 12 2024

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

1. Offshore of Southern Mexico and Central America:
A broad area of low pressure could form late this week a couple of
hundred miles off the coast of southern Mexico or Guatemala. Some
slow development is possible this weekend and early next week while
the system meanders near the coast.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.


Forecaster Reinhart

红豆棒冰冰

ECMWF 00Z系集继续对墨西哥附近的热带系统有明显反应

红豆棒冰冰

ZCZC MIATWOEP ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 AM PDT Thu Jun 13 2024

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

1. Offshore of Southern Mexico and Central America:
A broad area of low pressure could form late this week a couple of
hundred miles off the coast of southern Mexico or Guatemala. Some
slow development is possible this weekend and early next week while
the system meanders near the coast.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.


Forecaster Beven

红豆棒冰冰

ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Thu Jun 13 2024

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. Offshore of the Southeastern U.S. (AL90):
An elongated area of low pressure offshore the coast of Florida is
producing a large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms.
Despite strong upper-level winds, some gradual development is
possible while the system moves northeastward offshore of the
southeastern U.S. coast during the next couple of days. Regardless
of development, heavy rainfall is forecast to continue across
portions of the Florida peninsula through late this week. For more
information, see products issued by the Weather Prediction Center
and local National Weather Service Forecast Offices.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.

2. Southwestern Gulf of Mexico:
A broad area of low pressure is forecast to form over the
southwestern Gulf of Mexico this weekend or early next week.
Environmental conditions appear conducive for gradual development of
this system, and a tropical depression could form during the early
or middle part of next week while it moves slowly westward or
west-northwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.


Weather Prediction Center products can be found at
www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov and National Weather Service forecast
information can be found at www.weather.gov

Forecaster Kelly

ygsj24

000
ABPZ20 KNHC 131742
TWOEP

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 AM PDT Thu Jun 13 2024

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Offshore of Southern Mexico and Central America:
Satellite imagery indicates that a broad area of low pressure has
formed a few hundred miles southwest of Acapulco, Mexico.  Some
additional slow development is possible this weekend and early next
week while the system moves slowly east-southeastwards.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.

$$
Forecaster Beven

红豆棒冰冰

ECMWF 12Z决定报及系集均对墨西哥附近的热带系统有所反应

红豆棒冰冰

ZCZC MIATWOEP ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 PM PDT Thu Jun 13 2024

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

1. Offshore of Southern Mexico and Central America:
A broad area of low pressure located a few hundred miles southwest
of Acapulco, Mexico, is producing disorganized showers and
thunderstorms. Some slow development is possible this weekend and
early next week while the system moves slowly east-southeastward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.


Forecaster Pasch

红豆棒冰冰

ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Thu Jun 13 2024

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. Offshore of the Southeastern U.S. (AL90):
An elongated area of low pressure offshore of the southeastern U.S.
coast continues to produce some disorganized showers and
thunderstorms. Despite strong upper-level winds, some gradual
development is possible while the system moves northeastward
offshore of the southeastern U.S. coast during the next day or so.
By this weekend, the system is forecast to merge with a front over
the western Atlantic. Regardless of development, heavy rainfall is
forecast to continue across portions of the Florida peninsula
through late this week. For more information, see products issued by
the Weather Prediction Center and local National Weather Service
Forecast Offices.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.

2. Southwestern Gulf of Mexico:
A broad area of low pressure is forecast to form over the
southwestern Gulf of Mexico late this weekend or early next week.
Environmental conditions appear conducive for gradual development of
this system, and a tropical depression could form during the early
or middle part of next week while it moves slowly westward or
west-northwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.


Weather Prediction Center products can be found at
www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov and National Weather Service forecast
information can be found at www.weather.gov

Forecaster Reinhart

红豆棒冰冰

ZCZC MIATWOEP ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 PM PDT Thu Jun 13 2024

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

1. Offshore of Southern Mexico and Central America:
A broad area of low pressure located a couple of hundred miles
southwest of Acapulco, Mexico, is producing limited shower and
thunderstorm activity. Some slow development is possible this
weekend and early next week while the system moves slowly
east-southeastward and interacts with a broader circulation that is
forecast to develop offshore of southern Mexico and Central
America.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.


Forecaster Reinhart

红豆棒冰冰

ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Fri Jun 14 2024

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. Offshore of the Southeastern U.S. (AL90):
Satellite data indicate an elongated area of low pressure offshore
of the southeastern U.S. coast is producing some disorganized
showers and thunderstorms. Despite strong upper-level winds, some
gradual development is possible while the system moves northeastward
offshore of the southeastern U.S. coast during the next day or so.
By this weekend, the system is forecast to merge with a front over
the western Atlantic. Regardless of development, heavy rainfall is
forecast to continue across portions of the Florida peninsula
through late this week. For more information, see products issued by
the Weather Prediction Center and local National Weather Service
Forecast Offices.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.

2. Southwestern Gulf of Mexico:
A broad area of low pressure is forecast to form over the
southwestern Gulf of Mexico late this weekend or early next week.
Environmental conditions appear conducive for gradual development of
this system, and a tropical depression could form during the early
or middle part of next week while it moves slowly westward or
west-northwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.


Weather Prediction Center products can be found at
www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov and National Weather Service forecast
information can be found at www.weather.gov

Forecaster Reinhart