中东太／北大各类图像自动更新暨非扰动云团专帖（2024年）

pocketbox

2. Southwestern Gulf of Mexico:
Satellite imagery and surface observations indicate a broad area of
low pressure is forming over the Bay of Campeche.  Environmental
conditions appear conducive for gradual development of this system
as it moves slowly west-northwestward or northwestward, and a
tropical depression could form over the southwestern Gulf of Mexico
this weekend.  Interests along the Gulf coast of Mexico should
monitor the progress of this system.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent.

ygsj24

000
ABNT20 KNHC 241817 CCC
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook...Corrected
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Mon Jun 24 2024

Corrected formatting error.

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Western Caribbean/Southwestern Gulf of Mexico:
A westward-moving tropical wave located a few hundred miles
east-southeast of the Windward Islands is producing disorganized
showers and thunderstorms.  Environmental conditions appear
conducive for slow development once the wave reaches the western
Caribbean late this week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.

$$
Forecaster Hagen/Pasch

红豆棒冰冰

ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Mon Jun 24 2024

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. Western Caribbean/Southwestern Gulf of Mexico:
A westward-moving tropical wave located a couple of hundred miles
east-southeast of the Windward Islands is producing disorganized
showers and thunderstorms.  Environmental conditions appear
conducive for slow development once the wave reaches the western
Caribbean late this week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.


Forecaster Bucci

红豆棒冰冰

ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Tue Jun 25 2024

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. Western Caribbean/Southwestern Gulf of Mexico:
A westward-moving tropical wave located near the Windward Islands is
producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms.  Environmental
conditions appear conducive for slow development once the wave
reaches the western Caribbean late this week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.


Forecaster Bucci

xiaoqianWX

ygsj24 发表于 2024-6-25 04:15
000
ABNT20 KNHC 241817 CCC
TWOAT

NHC今年把TWO从5天改成7天后就有这种巨大箭头了
扰动已经存在，但是短期内不会发展，到比较远的地方环境才合适，就搞出了这种东西

红豆棒冰冰

ECMWF连续两报认为7月上旬北大西洋有热带系统发展成旋

红豆棒冰冰

ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Tue Jun 25 2024

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. Western Caribbean/Southwestern Gulf of Mexico:
A westward-moving tropical wave located over the southeastern
Caribbean Sea is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms.  
Environmental conditions appear conducive for slow development once
the wave reaches the western Caribbean late this week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.


Forecaster Hagen/Pasch

红豆棒冰冰

红豆棒冰冰 发表于 2024-6-25 22:40
ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

已编94L

红豆棒冰冰

ECMWF及GFS 12Z系集

红豆棒冰冰

ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Tue Jun 25 2024

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. Western Caribbean/Southwestern Gulf of Mexico (AL94):
A tropical wave located over the southeastern Caribbean Sea is
producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms as it moves quickly
westward at around 25 mph.  Environmental conditions could become
more conducive for some gradual development late this week over the
western Caribbean Sea or over the southwestern Gulf of Mexico
during the weekend.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.

2. Eastern Tropical Atlantic:
A tropical wave centered a couple of hundred miles south of the
Cabo Verde Islands is producing disorganized showers and
thunderstorms.  Some slow development of this system is possible
this weekend and into early next week while it moves generally
westward across the central and western tropical Atlantic at 15 to
20 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.


Forecaster Bucci