中东太／北大各类图像自动更新暨非扰动云团专帖（2024年）

pocketbox

2.Eastern Tropical Atlantic:
A tropical wave located several hundred miles south-southwest of the
Cabo Verde Islands is producing an area of disorganized showers and
thunderstorms.  Environmental conditions appear conducive for
additional development of this system, and a tropical depression
could form by the middle of next week while it moves generally
westward at 15 to 20 mph across the eastern and central tropical
Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent.

ygsj24

000
ABNT20 KNHC 291125
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Sat Jun 29 2024

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on
Tropical Storm Beryl, located over the central tropical Atlantic
Ocean.

Northwestern Caribbean/Southwestern Gulf of Mexico (AL94):
A broad area of low pressure is forecast to form over the Bay of
Campeche tonight or early Sunday, where conditions appear generally
conducive for further development.  A tropical depression could
form before the system moves inland again early next week over
Mexico.  Interests along the Gulf coast of Mexico should monitor
the progress of this system.  Regardless of development, heavy
rainfall associated with the area of low pressure will affect
portions of Central America and Mexico through early next week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.

Eastern Tropical Atlantic:
An area of low pressure located several hundred miles southwest of
the Cabo Verde Islands is producing an area of disorganized showers
and thunderstorms.  Environmental conditions appear conducive for
additional development of this system, and a tropical depression
could form by the middle of next week while it moves generally
westward at 15 to 20 mph across the eastern and central tropical
Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...60 percent.

&&
Public Advisories on Tropical Storm Beryl are issued under WMO
header WTNT32 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT2.
Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Storm Beryl are issued under WMO
header WTNT22 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT2.

$$
Forecaster Roberts

红豆棒冰冰

ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Sat Jun 29 2024

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on
Tropical Storm Beryl, located over the central tropical Atlantic
Ocean.

1. Northwestern Caribbean/Southwestern Gulf of Mexico (AL94):
A broad area of low pressure is forecast to form over the Bay of
Campeche tonight or early Sunday, where conditions appear generally
conducive for further development.  A tropical depression could
form before the system moves inland again early next week over
Mexico.  Interests along the Gulf coast of Mexico should monitor
the progress of this system.  Regardless of development, heavy
rainfall associated with the area of low pressure will affect
portions of Central America and Mexico through early next week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent.

2. Eastern Tropical Atlantic:
An area of low pressure located several hundred miles southwest of
the Cabo Verde Islands is producing an area of disorganized showers
and thunderstorms.  Environmental conditions appear conducive for
additional development of this system, and a tropical depression
could form by the middle of next week while it moves generally
westward at 15 to 20 mph across the eastern and central tropical
Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...70 percent.


Public Advisories on Tropical Storm Beryl are issued under WMO
header WTNT32 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT2.
Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Storm Beryl are issued under WMO
header WTNT22 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT2.

Forecaster Roberts

红豆棒冰冰

ZCZC MIATWOEP ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 AM PDT Sat Jun 29 2024

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

1. Offshore of Southern Mexico:
A broad area of low pressure could form by early next week a few
hundred miles south of the coast of southern Mexico.  Some gradual
development is possible during the next several days while the
system moves west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.


Forecaster Roberts

pocketbox

1. Offshore of Southern Mexico:
A broad area of low pressure could form by early next week a few
hundred miles south of the coast of southern Mexico.  Some gradual
development is possible during the next several days while the
system moves west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.

ygsj24

000
ABPZ20 KNHC 300547
TWOEP

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 PM PDT Sat Jun 29 2024

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Offshore of Southern Mexico:
A broad area of low pressure is expected to form by early next week
a few hundred miles south of the coast of southern Mexico.  Some
gradual development is possible, and a tropical depression could
form around midweek while the system moves west-northwestward at 10
to 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.

$$
Forecaster Bucci

ygsj24

000
ABNT20 KNHC 300549
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Sun Jun 30 2024

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Beryl, located several hundred miles east of the Windward Islands.

Southwestern Gulf of Mexico (AL94):
A broad area of low pressure is over the Bay of Campeche with
disorganized showers and thunderstorms.  Environmental conditions
appear generally conducive for further development, and a
short-lived tropical depression could form before the system moves
inland over Mexico on Monday.  Interests along the Gulf coast of
Mexico should monitor the progress of this system.  Regardless of
development, heavy rainfall associated with the area of low pressure
will continue affect portions of Central America and Mexico through
early next week.  An Air Force reconnaissance aircraft is scheduled
to investigate the system later today, if necessary.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent.

Eastern Tropical Atlantic:
Satellite-derived surface wind data indicate that an area of low
pressure located several hundred miles southwest of the Cabo Verde
Islands has become better organized.  Environmental conditions
appear conducive for additional development of this system, and a
tropical depression is likely to form by the midweek while it moves
generally westward at 15 to 20 mph across the eastern and central
tropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...70 percent.

$$
Forecaster Bucci

红豆棒冰冰

ygsj24 发表于 2024-6-30 14:00
000
ABNT20 KNHC 300549
TWOAT

后者已编号96L

红豆棒冰冰

ZCZC MIATWOEP ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 AM PDT Sun Jun 30 2024

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

1. Offshore of Southern Mexico:
A broad area of low pressure is expected to form by early next week
a few hundred miles south of the coast of southern Mexico.  Some
gradual development is possible, and a tropical depression could
form around midweek while the system moves west-northwestward at 10
to 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.


Forecaster Roberts

红豆棒冰冰

ZCZC MIATWOEP ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 AM PDT Sun Jun 30 2024

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

1. Offshore of Southern Mexico:
A broad area of low pressure is expected to form early this week a
few hundred miles south of the coast of southern Mexico.  Some
gradual development is possible, and a tropical depression could
form around midweek while the system moves west-northwestward
at 10 to 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.


Forecaster Roberts