中东太／北大各类图像自动更新暨非扰动云团专帖（2024年）

红豆棒冰冰

ZCZC MIATWOEP ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 AM PDT Thu Jul 18 2024

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

1. Western East Pacific (EP92):
A broad area of low pressure located more than one thousand miles
west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula
is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms well removed
from its center.  Environmental conditions are becoming less
conducive, with stronger upper-level winds and cooler waters, and
further development of this system is unlikely.  The low is forecast
to move generally west-northwestward at about  10 mph across the
western part of the basin.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.

2. South of Southern Mexico:
An area of low pressure could form by this weekend a few hundred
miles south of the coast of southern Mexico.  Thereafter, some slow
development of this system is possible by the middle of next week
while it moves westward to west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.


Forecaster Pasch

红豆棒冰冰

ZCZC MIATWOEP ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 PM PDT Thu Jul 18 2024

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

1. South of Southern Mexico:
An area of low pressure could form by early next week a few
hundred miles south of the coast of southern Mexico.  Thereafter,
some slow development of this system is possible through the middle
of next week while it moves westward to west-northwestward at 10 to
15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.


Forecaster Papin

红豆棒冰冰

ZCZC MIATWOEP ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 AM PDT Fri Jul 19 2024

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

1. South of Southern Mexico:
An area of low pressure could form by early next week a few hundred
miles south of the coast of southern Mexico. Thereafter, some slow
development of this system is possible through the latter part of
next week while it moves westward to west-northwestward at 10 to 15
mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.


Forecaster Reinhart

红豆棒冰冰

ZCZC MIATWOEP ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 AM PDT Fri Jul 19 2024

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

1. South of Southern Mexico:
An area of low pressure could form by early next week a few hundred
miles south of the coast of southern Mexico. Development, if any, of
this system would be slow to occur while it moves west-northwestward
at 10 to 15 mph during the middle and latter parts of next week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.


Forecaster Reinhart

ygsj24

000
ABPZ20 KNHC 192335
TWOEP

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 PM PDT Fri Jul 19 2024

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Central and Western East Pacific:
A tropical wave located along a monsoon trough well to the south of
the coast of Mexico is producing a broad area of showers and
thunderstorms. Some gradual development of this system is possible
over the next several days as it moves westward to
west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph, moving into the western portion
of the basin by the middle to latter parts of next week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.

$$
Forecaster Papin

红豆棒冰冰

ZCZC MIATWOEP ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 PM PDT Fri Jul 19 2024

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

1. Central and Western East Pacific:
A tropical wave located along a monsoon trough well to the south of
the coast of Mexico is producing a broad area of showers and
thunderstorms. Some gradual development of this system is possible
over the next several days as it moves westward to
west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph, moving into the western portion
of the basin by the middle to latter parts of next week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.


Forecaster Beven

ygsj24

000
ABPZ20 KNHC 201129
TWOEP

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 AM PDT Sat Jul 20 2024

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Central and Western East Pacific:
A tropical wave located well to the south of the southwestern coast
of Mexico is producing a broad area of showers and thunderstorms.
Environmental conditions appear conducive for some gradual
development of this system over the next several days while it moves
westward to west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph across the central
and western portions of the basin.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.

$$
Forecaster Reinhart

红豆棒冰冰

ZCZC MIATWOEP ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 AM PDT Sat Jul 20 2024

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

1. Central and Western East Pacific:
A tropical wave located well to the south of the southwestern coast
of Mexico continues to produce a large area of disorganized showers
and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions appear conducive for
some gradual development of this system over the next several days
while it moves westward to west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph across
the central and western portions of the basin.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.


Forecaster Reinhart

红豆棒冰冰

ZCZC MIATWOEP ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 PM PDT Sat Jul 20 2024

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

1. Central and Western East Pacific:
Shower activity associated with a tropical wave located well to the
south of the southern tip of the Baja California Peninsula has
become a little more concentrated since yesterday.  Environmental
conditions appear conducive for some gradual development of this
system over the next several days while it moves westward to
west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph across the central and western
portions of the basin.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.


Forecaster Beven

红豆棒冰冰

ZCZC MIATWOEP ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 PM PDT Sat Jul 20 2024

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

1. Central and Western East Pacific:
A tropical wave located well to the south of the southern tip of the
Baja California Peninsula is producing a broad area of showers and
thunderstorms.  Environmental conditions appear conducive for some
gradual development of this system over the next several days while
it moves westward to west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph across the
central and western portions of the basin.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.


Forecaster Kelly