中东太／北大各类图像自动更新暨非扰动云团专帖（2024年）

ygsj24

000
ABPZ20 KNHC 230502
TWOEP

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 PM PDT Mon Jul 22 2024

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Central and Western East Pacific:
A tropical wave located several hundred miles south-southwest of the
southern tip of the Baja California Peninsula is producing
disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity.  Environmental
conditions could become a little more conducive for some gradual
development of this system over the next several days while it moves
westward to west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph across the central
and western portions of the basin.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.

Offshore Southwestern Mexico:
An area of showers and thunderstorms located a few hundred miles
south of Manzanillo, Mexico is associated with a tropical wave.  
Some development of this system is possible while it moves
generally west-northwestward over the next couple of days, remaining
offshore of southwestern Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.

$$
Forecaster Pasch

红豆棒冰冰

ZCZC HFOTWOCP ALL
TTAA00 PHFO DDHHMM

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS Central Pacific Hurricane Center Honolulu HI
800 PM HST Mon Jul 22 2024

For the central North Pacific...between 140W and 180W:

1. Approximately 950 miles southeast of Hilo, Hawaii:
A large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms located over
the far eastern portion of the central Pacific basin is associated
with a trough of low pressure.  Environmental conditions are
forecast to be marginally conducive for some slow development during
the next 24 hours.  The disturbance is forecast to move westward at
10 to 15 mph into an area of increasing shear. Strong shear will
inhibit further development of this system midweek.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.

Forecaster M Ballard

ygsj24

509
ABPZ20 KNHC 231135
TWOEP

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 AM PDT Tue Jul 23 2024

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Offshore Southwestern Mexico:
Showers and thunderstorms associated with an area of low pressure
located a few hundred miles south-southwest of Manzanillo, Mexico,
have become slightly better organized since yesterday. Environmental
conditions appear favorable for slow development over the next
couple of days while the disturbance moves generally
west-northwestward, remaining offshore of southwestern Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.

Central and Western East Pacific:
A tropical wave located several hundred miles south-southwest of the
southern tip of the Baja California Peninsula is producing
disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity.  Environmental
conditions appear only marginally conducive for some slight
development of this system over the next few days while it moves
westward to west-northwestward around 10 mph across the central
and western portions of the basin.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.

$$
Forecaster Hagen/Berg

ygsj24

000
ACPN50 PHFO 231145
TWOCP

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS Central Pacific Hurricane Center Honolulu HI
200 AM HST Tue Jul 23 2024

For the central North Pacific...between 140W and 180W:

Approximately 950 miles southeast of Hilo, Hawaii:
Disorganized showers continue to dissipate over the far eastern
portion of the central Pacific basin associated with a trough of
low pressure. Environmental conditions are not favorable for
development as the system moves westward into an area of increasing
shear.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...near 0 percent.

$$
Forecaster M Ballard

Samuelle

东侧系统已编号93E

红豆棒冰冰

ygsj24 发表于 2024-7-23 19:55
000
ACPN50 PHFO 231145
TWOCP

CPHC最新Tropical Weather Outlook不再提及此系统

ZCZC HFOTWOCP ALL
TTAA00 PHFO DDHHMM

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS Central Pacific Hurricane Center Honolulu HI
800 AM HST Tue Jul 23 2024

For the central North Pacific...between 140W and 180W:

No tropical cyclones are expected through the next 7 days.

$$
Forecaster Powell
NNNN

红豆棒冰冰

ZCZC MIATWOEP ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 AM PDT Tue Jul 23 2024

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

1. Offshore Southwestern Mexico (EP93):
Showers and thunderstorms associated with a broad area of low
pressure located a few hundred miles south-southwest of Manzanillo,
Mexico have changed little in organization during the past several
hours.  Environmental conditions appear favorable for slow
development over the next couple of days while the disturbance moves
generally west-northwestward, remaining offshore of southwestern
Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.

2. Central and Western East Pacific:
A tropical wave located several hundred miles south-southwest of the
southern tip of the Baja California Peninsula is producing
disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity.  Environmental
conditions appear only marginally conducive for some slight
development of this system over the next few days while it moves
westward to west-northwestward around 10 mph across the central
and western portions of the basin.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.


Forecaster Hagen/Berg

红豆棒冰冰

ZCZC MIATWOEP ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 PM PDT Tue Jul 23 2024

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

1. Offshore Southwestern Mexico (EP93):
Showers and thunderstorms associated with a broad area of low
pressure located a few hundred miles southwest of Manzanillo, Mexico
have changed little in organization during the day.  Environmental
conditions could be conducive for some slow development over the
next couple of days while the disturbance moves generally
west-northwestward, remaining offshore of southwestern
Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.

2. Central and Western East Pacific:
A tropical wave located several hundred miles southwest of the
southern tip of the Baja California Peninsula is producing
disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity.  Environmental
conditions appear only marginally conducive for some slight
development of this system over the next few days while it moves
westward to west-northwestward around 10 mph across the central
and western portions of the basin.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.


Forecaster Pasch

红豆棒冰冰

ZCZC MIATWOEP ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 PM PDT Tue Jul 23 2024

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

1. Offshore Southwestern Mexico (EP93):
Showers and thunderstorms associated with a broad area of low
pressure located a few hundred miles southwest of Manzanillo, Mexico
have changed little in organization since earlier today.  
Environmental conditions could allow for some slow development over
the next couple of days while the disturbance moves generally
west-northwestward, remaining offshore of southwestern
Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.

2. Central and Western East Pacific:
A tropical wave located several hundred miles southwest of the
southern tip of the Baja California Peninsula is producing
disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity.  Environmental
conditions appear only marginally conducive for some slight
development of this system over the next few days while it moves
westward to west-northwestward around 10 mph across the central
and western portions of the basin.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.


Forecaster Pasch

ygsj24

000
ABPZ20 KNHC 241129
TWOEP

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 AM PDT Wed Jul 24 2024

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Offshore Southwestern Mexico (EP93):
Showers and thunderstorms associated with a broad area of low
pressure located a few hundred miles southwest of Manzanillo,
Mexico, have changed little in organization since yesterday.  
Environmental conditions could allow for some slow development over
the next couple of days while the disturbance moves generally
west-northwestward, remaining offshore of southwestern Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.

Central and Western East Pacific:
Shower and thunderstorm activity associated with a tropical wave
located several hundred miles southwest of the southern tip of the
Baja California Peninsula has diminished some since yesterday.
Development of this system appears unlikely over the next few days
while it moves westward to west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph across
the central and western portions of the basin.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.

$$
Forecaster Hagen/Berg