中东太／北大各类图像自动更新暨非扰动云团专帖（2024年）

红豆棒冰冰

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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 PM PDT Thu Aug 8 2024

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center has issued the last advisory on
Post-Tropical Cyclone Emilia, located almost a thousand miles west
of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula.

1. South of Southern Mexico:
A tropical wave located a few hundred miles south of the coast of
Guatemala is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms.
Gradual development of this system will be possible during the next
several days while it moves west-northwestward at around 15 mph,
parallel to the coast of southwestern Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.


Forecaster Beven

红豆棒冰冰

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TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Fri Aug 9 2024

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Active Systems:
The Weather prediction Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Depression Debby, located inland over North Carolina.

1. Near the Lesser and Greater Antilles:
A tropical wave located over the tropical Atlantic several hundred
miles west-southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands is producing
widespread disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Any development
of the wave should be slow to occur during the next couple of days
while it moves westward across the central tropical Atlantic.
Afterwards, conditions are expected to become more conducive for
development, and a tropical depression could form while it
approaches the Lesser Antilles by early next week. The system is
then forecast to move generally west-northwestward and could
approach the Greater Antilles by the middle part of next week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent.


Forecaster Beven

ygsj24

000
ABNT20 KNHC 091149
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Fri Aug 9 2024

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Active Systems:
The Weather Prediction Center is issuing advisories on Post-Tropical
Cyclone Debby, located inland over the Mid-Atlantic region.

Near the Lesser and Greater Antilles:
A tropical wave located several hundred miles to the west-southwest
of the Cabo Verde Islands is producing a large area of disorganized
showers and thunderstorms over the tropical Atlantic. Any
development of the wave should be slow to occur during the next
couple of days while it moves westward across the central tropical
Atlantic. Afterwards, conditions are expected to become more
conducive for development while the wave moves west-northwestward,
and a tropical depression could form by early next week while the
system approaches the Lesser Antilles. The system is then forecast
to continue moving generally west-northwestward and could approach
the Greater Antilles by the middle part of next week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...60 percent.

$$
Forecaster Reinhart

红豆棒冰冰

ZCZC MIATWOEP ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 AM PDT Fri Aug 9 2024

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

1. South of Southern Mexico:
Disorganized showers and thunderstorms located a couple of hundred
miles south of the coast of southern Mexico are associated with a
tropical wave.  Gradual development of this system is possible
during the next several days while it moves west-northwestward at
around 15 mph, parallel to the coast of southern and southwestern
Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.


Forecaster Cangialosi

红豆棒冰冰

ZCZC MIATWOEP ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 AM PDT Fri Aug 9 2024

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

1. South of Southern Mexico:
Disorganized showers and thunderstorms located a couple of hundred
miles south of the coast of southern Mexico are associated with a
tropical wave.  Gradual development of this system is possible
during the next few days while it moves west-northwestward at
around 15 mph, parallel to the coast of southern and southwestern
Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.


Forecaster Cangialosi

红豆棒冰冰

ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Fri Aug 9 2024

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Active Systems:
The Weather Prediction Center is issuing advisories on Post-Tropical
Cyclone Debby, located inland over the northeastern United States.

1. Near the Lesser and Greater Antilles:
A large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms located well
to the west-southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands over the tropical
Atlantic is associated with a tropical wave. Any development of the
wave should be slow to occur during the next couple of days while it
moves westward to west-northwestward across the central tropical
Atlantic. Conditions are expected to become more conducive for
development thereafter, and a tropical depression could form by
early next week while the system approaches and then moves near or
over the Lesser Antilles. The system is forecast to continue moving
generally west-northwestward and could approach portions of the
Greater Antilles by the middle part of next week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...60 percent.


Forecaster Reinhart

ygsj24

000
ABPZ20 KNHC 092315
TWOEP

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 PM PDT Fri Aug 9 2024

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

South of Southern Mexico:
Disorganized showers and thunderstorms located a couple hundred
miles south of the coast of southern Mexico are associated with a
broad area of low pressure. Some development of this system is
possible during the next several days while it moves
west-northwestward at around 15 mph, parallel to the coast of
southern and southwestern Mexico. By early next week, the system is
forecast to move into a more stable environment, limiting additional
development.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.

$$
Forecaster Papin

pocketbox

ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Fri Aug 9 2024

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Active Systems:
The Weather Prediction Center is issuing advisories on Post-Tropical
Cyclone Debby, located inland over the northeastern United States.

1. Near the Lesser and Greater Antilles:
Shower activity associated with a tropical wave located about 900
miles west-southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands has become a little
better organized since yesterday.  Slow development of this system
is possible during the next couple of days while it moves westward
to west-northwestward across the central tropical Atlantic.
Conditions are expected to become more conducive for development
thereafter, and a tropical depression is likely to form by early
next week while the system approaches and then moves near or over
the Lesser Antilles. The system is forecast to continue moving
generally west-northwestward and could approach portions of the
Greater Antilles by the middle part of next week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...70 percent.


Forecaster Beven

红豆棒冰冰

pocketbox 发表于 2024-8-10 07:34
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已编98L

红豆棒冰冰

ZCZC MIATWOEP ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 PM PDT Fri Aug 9 2024

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

1. South of Southern Mexico:
Showers and thunderstorms remain disorganized in association with a
broad area of low pressure located a couple hundred miles south of
the coast of southern Mexico. Some development of this system is
possible during the next several days while it moves
west-northwestward at around 15 mph, parallel to the coast of
southern and southwestern Mexico. By early next week, the system is
forecast to move into a more stable environment, limiting additional
development.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.


Forecaster Papin