中东太／北大各类图像自动更新暨非扰动云团专帖（2024年）

ygsj24

000
ABPZ20 KNHC 101133
TWOEP

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 AM PDT Sat Aug 10 2024

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

South of Southern Mexico:
Showers and thunderstorms have increased but remain disorganized in
association with a broad area of low pressure located about 150
miles off the coast of southern Mexico.  Some development of this
system is possible during the next couple of days while it moves
west-northwestward at around 15 mph, parallel to the coast of
southern and southwestern Mexico.  By early next week, the system
is forecast to move into a more stable environment, limiting
additional development.  Regardless of formation, this system
could bring areas of heavy rain to portions of coastal southern and
southwestern Mexico during the next day or two.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi

红豆棒冰冰

ygsj24 发表于 2024-8-10 19:45
000
ABPZ20 KNHC 101133
TWOEP

已编98E

ygsj24

000
ABPZ20 KNHC 131139
TWOEP

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 AM PDT Tue Aug 13 2024

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Offshore Southwestern Mexico:
An area of low pressure could form this weekend well offshore of
southern Mexico. Some slow development is possible by early next
week as the low moves west-northwestward, remaining offshore of
southwestern Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.

$$
Forecaster Hagen/Berg

红豆棒冰冰

ZCZC MIATWOEP ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 AM PDT Tue Aug 13 2024

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

1. Offshore Southwestern Mexico:
An area of low pressure could form this weekend well offshore of
southern Mexico. Some slow development is possible by early next
week as the low moves west-northwestward, remaining offshore of
southwestern Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.


Forecaster Hagen/Berg

红豆棒冰冰

ECMWF预报8月中下旬中东太有热带系统发展西行，系集也有明显反应

pocketbox

ZCZC HFOTWOCP ALL
TTAA00 PHFO DDHHMM

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS Central Pacific Hurricane Center Honolulu HI
200 PM HST Tue Aug 13 2024

For the central North Pacific...between 140W and 180W:

1. An area of low pressure could form early next week far southeast of
Hilo, Hawaii. Some slow development is possible as the low moves
westward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.



Forecaster Kino

红豆棒冰冰

ZCZC MIATWOEP ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 PM PDT Tue Aug 13 2024

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

1. Offshore Southwestern Mexico:
An area of low pressure could form this weekend well offshore of
southern Mexico. Some slow development is possible by early next
week as the low moves west-northwestward, remaining offshore of
southwestern Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.


Forecaster Pasch

ygsj24

000
ABPZ20 KNHC 140534
TWOEP

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 PM PDT Tue Aug 13 2024

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Offshore of Southwestern Mexico:
An area of low pressure could form this weekend well offshore of
southern Mexico. Some slow development is possible by early next
week as the low moves west-northwestward, remaining offshore of
southwestern Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.

Well Southeast of the Hawaiian Islands:
An area of low pressure could form this weekend or early next week
far southeast of the Hawaiian Islands. Some slow development is then
possible as the low moves westward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.

$$
Forecaster Kelly

红豆棒冰冰

ECMWF 00Z继续预报8月中下旬中东太有热带系统发展西行，系集也有明显反应

ygsj24