中东太／北大各类图像自动更新暨非扰动云团专帖（2024年）

ygsj24

000
ABPZ20 KNHC 141153
TWOEP

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 AM PDT Wed Aug 14 2024

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Offshore of Southwestern Mexico:
An area of low pressure could form this weekend well offshore of
southern Mexico. Some slow development is possible by early next
week as the low moves west-northwestward, remaining offshore of
southwestern Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.

Well Southeast of the Hawaiian Islands:
An area of low pressure could form this weekend or early next week
far southeast of the Hawaiian Islands. Some slow development is then
possible as the low moves westward.  Information on this system's
development can also be found in the Tropical Weather Outlook for
the Central Pacific basin.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.

&&
The Tropical Weather Outlook for the Central Pacific basin can be
found under AWIPS header HFOTWOCP and WMO header ACPN50 PHFO and on
the web at hurricanes.gov

$$
Forecaster Bucci

pocketbox

ZCZC HFOTWOCP ALL
TTAA00 PHFO DDHHMM

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS Central Pacific Hurricane Center Honolulu HI
200 AM HST Wed Aug 14 2024

For the central North Pacific...between 140W and 180W:

1. An area of low pressure could form this weekend or early next week
far southeast of the Hawaiian Islands. Some slow development is
then possible as the low moves westward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.



Elsewhere, no tropical cyclones are expected during the next 7 days.

Forecaster Jelsema

红豆棒冰冰

ZCZC HFOTWOCP ALL
TTAA00 PHFO DDHHMM

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS Central Pacific Hurricane Center Honolulu HI
800 AM HST Wed Aug 14 2024

For the central North Pacific...between 140W and 180W:

1. An area of low pressure could form this weekend or early next week
far southeast of the Hawaiian Islands. Environmental conditions
appear conducive for additional development, and a tropical
depression could form as it moves westward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.



Elsewhere, no tropical cyclones are expected during the next 7 days.

Forecaster Kino/Tsamous

红豆棒冰冰

ZCZC MIATWOEP ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 AM PDT Wed Aug 14 2024

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

1. Offshore of Southwestern Mexico:
An area of low pressure could form this weekend well offshore of
southern Mexico. Some slow development is possible by early next
week as the low moves west-northwestward, remaining offshore of
southwestern Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.

2. Well Southeast of the Hawaiian Islands:
An area of low pressure could form this weekend or early next week
far southeast of the Hawaiian Islands. Environmental conditions
appear conducive for additional development, and a tropical
depression could form as it moves westward.  Information on this
system\'s development can also be found in the Tropical Weather
Outlook for the Central Pacific basin.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.


The Tropical Weather Outlook for the Central Pacific basin can be
found under AWIPS header HFOTWOCP and WMO header ACPN50 PHFO and on
the web at hurricanes.gov

Forecaster Bucci

红豆棒冰冰

ECMWF 12Z继续预报8月中下旬中东太有热带系统发展西行，系集也有明显反应

ygsj24

000
ABPZ20 KNHC 142342
TWOEP

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 PM PDT Wed Aug 14 2024

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Well Southeast of the Hawaiian Islands:
A broad area of low pressure will likely form during the next couple
of days well southeast of the Hawaiian Islands.  Environmental
conditions appear conducive for gradual development thereafter, and
a tropical depression could form late this weekend or early next
week while the system moves westward.  Information on this system
can also be found in the Tropical Weather Outlook for the Central
Pacific basin.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent.

Offshore of Southwestern Mexico:
An area of low pressure will likely form this weekend well offshore
of southwestern Mexico. Some subsequent slow development is
possible, and a tropical depression could form early next week as
the low moves west-northwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.

&&
The Tropical Weather Outlook for the Central Pacific basin can be
found under AWIPS header HFOTWOCP and WMO header ACPN50 PHFO and on
the web at hurricanes.gov

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi

pocketbox

ZCZC HFOTWOCP ALL
TTAA00 PHFO DDHHMM

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS Central Pacific Hurricane Center Honolulu HI
200 PM HST Wed Aug 14 2024

For the central North Pacific...between 140W and 180W:

1. Approximately 1600 miles southeast of the Hilo, Hawaii:
A broad area of low pressure will likely form during the next
couple of days well southeast of the Hawaiian Islands.  
Environmental conditions appear conducive for gradual development
thereafter, and a tropical depression could form late this weekend
or early next week while the system moves westward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent.



Elsewhere, no tropical cyclones are expected during the next 7 days.

Forecaster Kino/Tsamous

ygsj24

000
ABPZ20 KNHC 150519
TWOEP

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 PM PDT Wed Aug 14 2024

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Well Southeast of the Hawaiian Islands:
A broad area of low pressure will likely form during the next couple
of days well southeast of the Hawaiian Islands.  Environmental
conditions appear conducive for gradual development thereafter, and
a tropical depression could form this weekend or early next week
while the system moves westward.  Information on this system can
also be found in the Tropical Weather Outlook for the Central
Pacific basin.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...60 percent.

Offshore of Southwestern Mexico:
An area of low pressure will likely form this weekend well offshore
of southwestern Mexico. Some subsequent slow development is
possible, and a tropical depression could form early next week as
the low moves west-northwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.

&&
The Tropical Weather Outlook for the Central Pacific basin can be
found under AWIPS header HFOTWOCP and WMO header ACPN50 PHFO and on
the web at hurricanes.gov

$$
Forecaster Kelly

pocketbox

ZCZC HFOTWOCP ALL
TTAA00 PHFO DDHHMM

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS Central Pacific Hurricane Center Honolulu HI
800 PM HST Wed Aug 14 2024

For the central North Pacific...between 140W and 180W:

1. Well southeast of the Hawaiian Islands:
A broad area of low pressure will likely form during the next couple
of days well southeast of the Hawaiian Islands.  Environmental
conditions appear conducive for gradual development thereafter, and
a tropical depression could form this weekend or early next week
while the system moves westward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...60 percent.



Elsewhere, no tropical cyclones are expected during the next 7 days.

Forecaster Jelsema

红豆棒冰冰

ECMWF 00Z继续预报8月中下旬中东太有热带系统发展西行，系集也有明显反应