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中东太/北大各类图像自动更新暨非扰动云团专帖(2024年)

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68

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6287

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2万

积分

顶级超台

积分
27364
发表于 2024-10-26 07:20 | 显示全部楼层
000
ABPZ20 KNHC 252317
TWOEP

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 PM PDT Fri Oct 25 2024

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Kristy, located over the western portion of the eastern Pacific
basin.

Western East Pacific:
A large area of disturbed weather is located well to the southwest
of the southwestern coast of Mexico.  An area of low pressure could
form from this disturbance over the western part of the basin
during the early to middle part of next week, and environmental
conditions appear conducive for subsequent development while the
system moves westward or west-northwestward at about 15 mph.  This
system is expected to move into the central Pacific basin on
Wednesday or Thursday.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.

$$
Forecaster Berg



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68

主题

6287

回帖

2万

积分

顶级超台

积分
27364
发表于 2024-10-26 13:25 | 显示全部楼层
000
ABPZ20 KNHC 260519
TWOEP

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 PM PDT Fri Oct 25 2024

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Kristy, located over the western portion of the eastern Pacific
basin.

Western East Pacific:
A large area of showers and thunderstorms is currently located well
to the southwest of the southwestern coast of Mexico. An area of low
pressure could develop from this system over the next couple of days
as it moves into the western part of the East Pacific. Environmental
conditions are then forecast to be conducive for additional
development, and a tropical depression could form by the middle of
next week while the system moves westward or west-northwestward at
about 15 mph. This system is expected to move into the central
Pacific basin on Wednesday or Thursday.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.

$$
Forecaster Papin



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68

主题

6287

回帖

2万

积分

顶级超台

积分
27364
发表于 2024-10-26 19:30 | 显示全部楼层
000
ABPZ20 KNHC 261126
TWOEP

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 AM PDT Sat Oct 26 2024

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Kristy, located over the western portion of the eastern Pacific
basin.

Western East Pacific:
A large area of showers and thunderstorms is currently located well
to the southwest of the southwestern tip of the Baja California
peninsula.  Environmental conditions appear conducive for gradual
development, and a tropical depression could form by the middle of
next week while the system moves westward or west-northwestward at
about 15 mph. This system is expected to move into the central
Pacific basin on Wednesday or Thursday.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent.

$$
Forecaster Kelly



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68

主题

6287

回帖

2万

积分

顶级超台

积分
27364
发表于 2024-10-27 04:50 | 显示全部楼层
000
ABPZ20 KNHC 261730
TWOEP

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 AM PDT Sat Oct 26 2024

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Kristy, located over the western portion of the eastern Pacific
basin.

Western East Pacific:
A large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms is currently
located well to the southwest of the southwestern tip of the Baja
California peninsula.  Environmental conditions appear conducive for
gradual development, and a tropical depression could form by the
early to middle part of next week while the system moves westward or
west-northwestward at about 15 mph. This system is expected to move
into the central Pacific basin on Wednesday or Thursday.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...60 percent.

$$
Forecaster Kelly



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68

主题

6287

回帖

2万

积分

顶级超台

积分
27364
发表于 2024-10-27 07:25 | 显示全部楼层
000
ABPZ20 KNHC 262320
TWOEP

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 PM PDT Sat Oct 26 2024

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Kristy, located over the western portion of the eastern
Pacific basin.

Western East Pacific:
A large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms is located
well to the southwest of the southwestern tip of the Baja California
peninsula.  Environmental conditions appear conducive for
development of this system, and a tropical depression is likely to
form by the early to middle part of next week while moving westward
or west-northwestward at about 15 mph over the far western portion
of the eastern Pacific basin.  This system is expected to move into
the central Pacific basin on Wednesday or Thursday.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...70 percent.

$$
Forecaster Berg



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68

主题

6287

回帖

2万

积分

顶级超台

积分
27364
发表于 2024-10-27 07:30 | 显示全部楼层
000
ABNT20 KNHC 262322
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Sat Oct 26 2024

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Southwestern Caribbean Sea:
A broad area of low pressure is likely to develop over the
southwestern Caribbean Sea around the middle of next week.  Some
gradual development of this system will be possible through the end
of next week while it meanders or drifts northeastward over the
southwestern Caribbean Sea.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.

$$
Forecaster Berg

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68

主题

6287

回帖

2万

积分

顶级超台

积分
27364
发表于 2024-10-27 13:30 | 显示全部楼层
000
ABPZ20 KNHC 270527
TWOEP

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 PM PDT Sat Oct 26 2024

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Kristy, located over the western portion of the eastern
Pacific basin.

Western East Pacific:
An area of low pressure is forming within a large area of
disorganized showers and thunderstorms located well to the southwest
of the southwestern tip of the Baja California peninsula.  
Environmental conditions appear conducive for additional development
of this system, and a tropical depression is likely to form by the
early to middle part of the upcoming week while moving westward or
west-northwestward at about 15 mph over the far western portion of
the eastern Pacific basin.  This system is expected to move into the
central Pacific basin on Wednesday or Thursday.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...80 percent.

$$
Forecaster Papin



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68

主题

6287

回帖

2万

积分

顶级超台

积分
27364
发表于 2024-10-27 13:35 | 显示全部楼层
000
ABNT20 KNHC 270530
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Sun Oct 27 2024

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Southwestern Caribbean Sea:
A broad area of low pressure is likely to develop over the
southwestern Caribbean Sea around the middle part of this week.  
Some gradual development of this system is possible through the end
of the week as it begins to drift northward or northeastward
over the southwestern Caribbean Sea.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.

$$
Forecaster Papin

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68

主题

6287

回帖

2万

积分

顶级超台

积分
27364
发表于 2024-10-28 04:25 | 显示全部楼层
000
ABPZ20 KNHC 271719
TWOEP

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 AM PDT Sun Oct 27 2024

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center has issued the last advisory on
Post-Tropical Cyclone Kristy, located over the western portion of
the eastern Pacific basin.

Western East Pacific (EP91):
A broad area of low pressure located more than 1000 miles southwest
of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula is producing
disorganized showers and thunderstorms.  Environmental conditions
appear conducive for gradual development of this system, and a
tropical depression is likely to form within the next few days while
it moves westward or west-northwestward at about 15 mph over the
western portion of the eastern Pacific basin.  This system is
expected to move into the central Pacific basin on Wednesday or
Thursday.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...80 percent.

Central East Pacific:
A low pressure system could form within the next day or two several
hundred miles south-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja
California peninsula.  Some slow development is possible thereafter
as the system moves slowly toward the west-northwest.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.

$$
Forecaster Hagen

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68

主题

6287

回帖

2万

积分

顶级超台

积分
27364
发表于 2024-10-28 04:30 | 显示全部楼层
000
ABNT20 KNHC 271719
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Sun Oct 27 2024

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Southwestern Caribbean Sea:
A broad area of low pressure is likely to develop over the
southwestern Caribbean Sea in a few days.  Gradual development is
possible thereafter, and a tropical depression could form late this
week or over the weekend when the system begins to drift northward
or northeastward over the southwestern and south-central Caribbean
Sea.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi

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