中东太／北大各类图像自动更新暨非扰动云团专帖（2024年）

ygsj24

000
ABPZ20 KNHC 281157
TWOEP

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 AM PDT Mon Oct 28 2024

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Western East Pacific (EP91):
A broad area of low pressure located more than 1000 miles southwest
of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula is producing
disorganized shower activity. Environmental conditions appear
generally conducive for gradual development of this system, and a
tropical depression could form within the next few days while it
moves westward at about 15 mph. This system is expected to move
into the central Pacific basin by the end of the week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...60 percent.

Central East Pacific:
A weak area of low pressure has formed about 1000 miles southwest of
the southwestern coast of Mexico. Some slow development is possible
during the next 3 to 4 days while the low moves slowly to the
west-northwest. By the end of the week, however, strong upper-level
winds should end the chances of development.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi/Adams

pocketbox

2. Central East Pacific:
An area of low pressure located about 1000 miles southwest of the
southern tip of the Baja California Peninsula has become slightly
better organized since yesterday.  Further development of this
system is possible during the next few days while the low moves
slowly to the west-northwest.  By the end of the week, however,
upper-level winds should become less conducive for development.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.

pocketbox

2. About 1300 miles southwest of Honolulu, Hawaii:
An area of low pressure is producing disorganized shower activity.
Environmental conditions appear to be favorable for some slow
development over the next day or so as the system moves
northwestward around 15 mph. The system is expected to cross into
the Western Pacific Basin Wednesday night.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.

ygsj24

000
ACPN50 PHFO 301147
TWOCP

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS Central Pacific Hurricane Center Honolulu HI
200 AM HST Wed Oct 30 2024

For the central North Pacific...between 140W and 180W:

About 1600 miles east-southeast of Hilo, Hawaii (EP91):
A broad area of low pressure is producing disorganized showers and
thunderstorms.  Some development of this system is possible during
the next few days while the system moves generally westward at about
15 mph.  This system is expected to cross into the Central Pacific
Basin by the end of the week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.

About 1300 miles southwest of Honolulu, Hawaii:
An area of low pressure is producing disorganized showers and
thunderstorms. Development of this system is not expected while it
moves northwestward around 15 mph. The system is expected to cross
into the Western Pacific Basin tonight.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...near 0 percent.

Elsewhere, no tropical cyclones are expected during the next 7
days.

$$

Forecaster Gibbs

ygsj24

000
ACPN50 PHFO 301812
TWOCP

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS Central Pacific Hurricane Center Honolulu HI
800 AM HST Wed Oct 30 2024

For the central North Pacific...between 140W and 180W:

About 1525 miles east-southeast of Hilo, Hawaii (EP91):
A broad area of low pressure is producing disorganized showers and
thunderstorms.  Some development of this system is possible during
the next few days while the system moves generally westward at about
15 mph.  This system is expected to cross into the Central Pacific
Basin by the end of the week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.

About 1300 miles southwest of Honolulu, Hawaii:
An area of low pressure is producing disorganized shower activity.
Environmental conditions appear to be favorable for some slow
development over the next day as the system moves northwestward
around 15 mph. The system is expected to cross into
the Western Pacific Basin tonight.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...near 10 percent.

Elsewhere, no tropical cyclones are expected during the next 7
days.

$$
Forecaster Foster

pocketbox

2. Central East Pacific:
An area of low pressure located about 1200 miles southwest of the
southern tip of the Baja California peninsula continues to
produce a large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms.  
Some development of this system is possible during the next few
days while the low moves slowly to the west-northwest.  By the end
of the week, however, upper-level winds should become less
conducive for development.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.

pocketbox

ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Thu Oct 31 2024

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. Southwestern Caribbean Sea:
A broad area of low pressure is likely to develop over the
southwestern Caribbean Sea by the end of the week.  Gradual
development is possible thereafter, and a tropical depression could
form over the weekend or early next week while the system drifts
generally northward or northwestward over the central or western
Caribbean Sea.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent.


Forecaster Blake

pocketbox

ZCZC HFOTWOCP ALL
TTAA00 PHFO DDHHMM

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS Central Pacific Hurricane Center Honolulu HI
800 PM HST Wed Oct 30 2024

For the central North Pacific...between 140W and 180W:

1. About 1350 miles west-southwest of Honolulu, Hawaii:
An area of low pressure is producing disorganized shower activity.
Environmental conditions are not expected to be conducive for
development during the next day or so as the system moves
northwestward at around 15 mph. Development of this system is no
longer expected in the Central Pacific Basin.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...near 0 percent.



Elsewhere, no tropical cyclones are expected during the next 7
days.

Forecaster Bohlin

ygsj24

000
ABNT20 KNHC 311730
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Thu Oct 31 2024

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Southwestern Caribbean Sea:
A broad area of low pressure is likely to develop over the
southwestern Caribbean Sea during the next day or two.  Gradual
development is possible thereafter, and a tropical depression could
form over the weekend or early next week while the system drifts
generally northward or northwestward over the central or western
Caribbean Sea.  Regardless of development, locally heavy rains are
possible during the next several days across portions of the area
from Nicaragua southeastward and eastward to northern Colombia.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...60 percent.

Northeastern Caribbean Sea and Greater Antilles:
A trough of low pressure near Puerto Rico is producing widespread
cloudiness and showers over the Dominican Republic, Puerto Rico, the
Virgin Islands, the northern Leeward Islands, and the adjacent
waters of the Atlantic and the northeastern Caribbean.  Slow
development of this system is possible during the next 2-3 days as
it moves west-northwestward near the Greater Antilles.  After that
time, this system is expected to be absorbed into the low pressure
area over the Caribbean.  Regardless of development, locally heavy
rains are possible during the next several days from the northern
Leeward Islands westward across Puerto Rico and Hispaniola to
eastern Cuba and the southeastern Bahamas.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.

North Atlantic:
Showers and thunderstorms have developed near the center of a
storm-force non-tropical low pressure area located about 550 miles
west of the western Azores. However, any additional development into
a subtropical or tropical cyclone is expected to be slow to occur as
the system moves eastward during the next few days.  Additional
information on this system is available in High Seas Forecasts
issued by the National Weather Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.

&&
High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service
can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01
KWBC, and online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php

$$
Forecaster Beven

ygsj24

000
ABPZ20 KNHC 311730
TWOEP

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 AM PDT Thu Oct 31 2024

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Central East Pacific:
An area of low pressure located about 1200 miles southwest of the
southern tip of the Baja California peninsula has become slightly
better organized, and continues to produce showers and
thunderstorms.  Some development of this system is possible during
the next few days while the low moves slowly to the west-northwest.  
By late this weekend, upper-level winds should become less conducive
for development.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.

Southwest of Southwestern Mexico:
An area of low pressure could form well offshore southwestern Mexico
during the early to middle part of next week. Thereafter, some slow
development is possible while the system meanders or moves slowly
eastward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.

$$
Forecaster Kelly