中东太／北大各类图像自动更新暨非扰动云团专帖（2024年）

pocketbox

ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
100 AM EST Tue Nov 12 2024

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. Central and Western Caribbean Sea:
A tropical wave over the central Caribbean Sea is producing an area
of disorganized showers and thunderstorms.  Environmental conditions
appear conducive for development, and a tropical depression will
likely form late this week as the system moves westward into the
western Caribbean Sea.  After that, the disturbance is expected to
slow down and meander through the weekend.  Interests across the
western Caribbean Sea should monitor the progress of this system.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...70 percent.


Forecaster Bucci

ygsj24

986
ABNT20 KNHC 121123
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
700 AM EST Tue Nov 12 2024

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Central and Western Caribbean Sea:
A tropical wave over the central Caribbean Sea is producing an area
of disorganized showers and thunderstorms.  Environmental
conditions appear conducive for development, and a tropical
depression is likely to form by the end of the week as the system
moves slowly westward into the western Caribbean Sea.  Afterward,
the disturbance is expected to meander over the western Caribbean
Sea through the weekend and begin moving slowly, generally
northwestward, by early next week.  Interests across the western
Caribbean Sea should monitor the progress of this system.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...Medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...80 percent.


$$
Forecaster Roberts

ygsj24

335
ABPZ20 KNHC 151739
TWOEP

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1000 AM PST Fri Nov 15 2024

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Central East Pacific:
An area of low pressure currently located several hundred
miles southwest of the coast of southwestern Mexico is producing
disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity. Environmental
conditions appear marginally favorable for some slow development of
this system as it moves slowly east-northeastward towards the
southwestern coast of Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.

$$
Forecaster Papin

pocketbox

ZCZC MIATWOEP ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1000 PM PST Sun Nov 17 2024

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

1. Offshore of Southwestern Mexico:
An area of low pressure located just offshore of the coast of
southwestern Mexico is producing limited shower and thunderstorm
activity. Development of this system is not expected due to strong
upper-level winds while it moves southeastward parallel to the
coast of Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...near 0 percent.


Forecaster Cangialosi